Job Market Expected to Recover in 2014

Job Market Expected to Recover in 2014

The rate at which jobs were cut slowed in August, but the gap to be filled will be with us for a while. With 14.9 million people looking for jobs according to Moody’s Economy.com, the unemployment rate won’t hit 5% — considered “normal” — until 2014. To put this in perspective, we still have one presidential election and two mid-term contests between now and a full employment recovery.

The average unemployed worker spends 24.9 weeks without a job — the highest level since 1948 — and 4.98 million people have been unemployed for more than 27 weeks, also the peak since the end of World War II.

Another 9 million are underemployed — i.e., taking part-time work despite wanting more hours or otherwise fuller employment. The average workweek has slipped to 33.1 hours, just up from the summer low of 33 hours.

To keep pace with the increase in job hunters from immigration and population growth, 125,000 jobs would need to be created every month. Replacing the lost jobs of the past two years would require an even higher rate of job creation. So, stay focused on the future … the distant future.

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